Radio W4KAZ

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Seeing Spots – Cycle 24

This is a few days old, but a link from G3XBM blog sent me over to the current sunspot and 10.7cm flux projections for the next five years.

It looks like high end projection nowtops out at about 100. Based oncomparisons with the last cycle toreported contest scores, we can expect better 10m activity with sunspot numbers over about 60. That’s not to say there will be zilch before then, or that a flux associated with the 60 spot count will guarantee band openings. We won’t cross the 50 number in the projections before the end of next year. [Hopefully.]

It also looks like 15m propagation should show improvements with only a moderately slight improvement in the solar activity. YipppEEEEE! That could mean Field Day 2010 would be more interesting if 15m activity can be increased.

O’course, projections arereally just guesses – cuz no one really knows enough yet to make a high confidence level prediction. Maybe in a couple more centuries of observation and computer modeling, but not today.

I’ve always favored the lower sunspot numberprojection, but was hoping I was wrong. But like the great big ball-o-fire itself, nothing is set in stone.

Additional ‘stuff’.

Web Cheat Sheets

A nice compilation of links to handy cheat sheets.

Amazing Scale Models

A local friend copied me on this in an email. Its not radio, but since I have always had a fascination with WWII vintage aircraft, and it is hard not to be impressed at the level of craftsmanship required to produce these scale models by Mr. Young Park. It is beautiful detail work, and I’m glad the photos and story are available.

Seeing Spots – Cycle 24 On The Brink

Well, I knew it had been pretty dull, but I didn’t realize 2009 was getting ready to equal 2008 as “crappiest year for 10M ever”. But it looks like 2009 is on track for earning that dubious distinction. Only five more spotless days required.

O’course, that article is two days old, so I suspect we are down to three……and counting.

Seeing Spots – Cycle 24

Yet another contest season is under way, with a sunspot number still stuck on zero. Took a pass on CQ WW – not much interest.

I ran into this NASA paper describing a possible link between the solar cycles and the solar tides. Fun stuff.

Then there’s this little gem on the proxy data, showing that radio was born at the best possible time for chasing DX above 10mc. Not encouraging for radio enthusiasts of the coming centuries – but no indication of whats up right now either.

Shades of Bladerunner?

Shades of Bladerunner.

Orion/Daedalus

Here is an interesting twist on a technically sound idea that was ground up and spit out by the jaws of the Politically Incorrect low IQ pitbull watchdogs. Maybe zapping pellets of frozen gas will be less objectionable to the mundanes than the low yield fission devices from the original concept. Interesting that it now appears to be within the reach of current technology.

So here we sit fifty years later, still stuck in the bottom of the gravity well, while all of creations’ limitless bountiful resources go spinning around the solar system.

Let them eat cake.

Retrograde Browser Progress

A bit of divergence into the realm of Internet browsers.

I have been moving from browser to browser, since the days before the internet and their initial introduction. I have maintained my ground-floor AOL account(1992?) for email continuity, because it has been disseminated so far and wide. But it must be over ten years since I actually used the AOL software, having switched to Netscape very early on. Internet Explorer in its several iterations has never been high on the favored list, except that most e-commerce is geared towards being compatible with it.

[aside: I wonder what a full set of AOL disks would bring at auction on ebay as a curiosity? Enough to cover postage?]

The problem is really the ten year old desktop I normally use for web-surfing. Just too cheap to buy a new computer for checking e-mail and web surfing. But the hardware constraints and limitations have brought some performance issues to the forefront as time has marched on. I suspect the main consideration is the 512MB memory limit. [yes, it IS that old] Obviously, I’m about five years past time to upgrade. Alas – I still see no “need”, even with the price of computers now down to, or below, the price of a nice suit of clothes and a good pair of shoes. Desktops cheaper than iPods!….almost.

Anyway – I used Netscape rather than AOL’s software(go figure!) for several years and then parted ways with Netscape in favor of IE, mostly due to compatibility issues with the common level of HTML being used at the time. I then adopted Firefox early on, and have seen its level of performance degrade over time as new features have been added. Safari was an improvement over Firefox for a short time, but quickly began showing signs of memory and CPU bloat.

Overall, Opera has always been the fastest of the lot. It was also always the least compatible with certain websites that used wonky HTML hacks, or sites that stretched the envelope with latest-greatest HTML techniques.

IE8 has recently re-emerged as a better choice than either Firefox or Safari on this brain-dead CPU. On the kids’ faster gaming computer, I still prefer the look and feel of Firefox, and its bloat is not noticeable on a 2.6gig CPU with 3gig of ram.

But here on the old-n-busted box, the latest three releases of Opera have been quite an improvement over the other lot. I’ve grown to like some of the look and feel of the Opera browser, and it is still showing the fastest load times of the four currently installed. Safari now sucks so badly on this box, it is virtually useless. It is kinda sucky on the fast box now too, but usable.

But the surprise is that IE8 is now the second best performance wise, and is actually better than Opera on pages with Flash content. (Not “good”, but “better”)

I have IE8 set to run in “compatibility mode”, and it still has the occasional hiccup, but overall it now beats out both Firefox and Safari. Perhaps the Redmond nerds caught a hint with the smashing success of Vista.

Curiously, Opera is also still able to run on Windows 98 and WinME, so it makes a useful tool for a dinosaur set up for shack use.

Opera is pretty snappy in the Ubuntu partition too. The Opera version 10 compatibility on any platform seems quite good too.

A New Mode

Now we just need to figure out how to describe this exciting new mode, whereby QSO’s are logged via skip off the ionized ice trail being left by cosmic truck drivers when their jug gets full.

Pee Skip(PS)? Whiz Mode(WM)?

Stratospheric Truckers’ Urine and Funny Flake mode (STUFF)?

Yesterdays Odiferous Luminous Linear Organic Waste Supply Negated Over World (YELLOW SNOW)?

Amended 9/20: Hah! G4ILO nailed it! Sporadic-P!

VHS or Beta?

WIRED has a riff on one of my favorite premises. “Good enough” is good enough.Usually.

Engineer the Possible! If you wait until it is perfect, you may never get the thumb out…. 😮

WIRED has a slightly different take on the theme, examining the trend towards simpler user interfaces that provide less than top of the line performance. Which is why the “Beta” format lost out to VHS, and why MP3’s are more common than higher quality digital formats.

Everything is a trade off. There will always be a market at the bleeding edge of performance, but it is seldom required to fulfill the purpose for a person looking for value.

But those priority trade-offs are highly subjective, aina?