Radio W4KAZ

Thanks for stopping by the virtual KazShack. Feel free to comment - I often approve them.

Spotting Assistance?

Nope, no explosion of sunspots yet.

The current prediction graph is interesting. The graph of actual sunspot numbers is lagging behind both the “big cycle” and the “medium cycle” plots. But the graph of solar flux data shows an almost 1 to 1 correlation to the smaller cycle prediction. Peak of 80 in 2013? Ick.

For background here is the 2007 prediction.

Too bad. The big one sure would be more fun. But it’s all fuzzy science, so maybe King Sol will stir the pot a bit more for us. A couple million more years of observations, and maybe there will be a clear trend. But what if chaos reigns, and the patterns are temporal and more changeable than short term observations indicate? A moot question, but a curiosity nonetheless.

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