{"id":338,"date":"2009-01-07T09:10:30","date_gmt":"2009-01-07T13:10:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/?p=338"},"modified":"2009-01-07T19:29:40","modified_gmt":"2009-01-07T23:29:40","slug":"spotting-assistance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/?p=338","title":{"rendered":"Spotting Assistance?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nope, no explosion of sunspots yet.<\/p>\n<p>The <a title=\"January 2009 sunspot prediction.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.swpc.noaa.gov\/SolarCycle\/\">current prediction graph is interesting<\/a>. The graph of actual sunspot numbers is lagging behind both the &#8220;big cycle&#8221; and the &#8220;medium cycle&#8221; plots. But the graph of solar flux data shows an almost 1 to 1 correlation to the smaller cycle prediction. Peak of 80 in 2013? Ick.<\/p>\n<p>For background <a title=\"Cycle 24 prediction from early 2007\" href=\"http:\/\/www.swpc.noaa.gov\/SolarCycle\/SC24\/index.html\">here is the 2007 prediction<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Too bad. The big one sure would be more fun. But it&#8217;s all fuzzy science, so maybe King Sol will stir the pot a bit more for us. A couple million more years of observations, and maybe there will be a clear trend. But what if chaos reigns, and the patterns are temporal and more changeable than short term observations indicate?  A moot question, but a curiosity nonetheless.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nope, no explosion of sunspots yet.<\/p>\n<p>The current prediction graph is interesting. The graph of actual sunspot numbers is lagging behind both the &#8220;big cycle&#8221; and the &#8220;medium cycle&#8221; plots. But the graph of solar flux data shows an almost 1 to 1 correlation to the smaller cycle prediction. Peak of 80 in 2013? Ick.<\/p>\n<p>For background here is the 2007 prediction.<\/p>\n<p>Too bad. The big one sure would be more fun. But it&#8217;s all fuzzy science, so maybe King Sol will stir the pot a bit more for us. A couple million more years of observations, and maybe there will be a clear trend. But what if chaos reigns, and the patterns are temporal and more changeable than short term observations indicate? A moot question, but a curiosity nonetheless.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=338"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":350,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338\/revisions\/350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=338"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=338"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/w4kaz.com\/qth\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=338"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}